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Middle East Forum

The next Middle East Forum 2020 prospects of universal settlement, experts came to the conclusion that the States of this region of the planet should show political will to prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons. Most of them felt that crystallization of Israeli threats to Iran and a possible military coup against its nuclear installations involves much danger and can have unpredictable consequences for the region. According to the Russian expert Alexei Vasiliev, of the Institute of Africa of the Academy of Sciences of Russia, any coup of Iran against Israel proovocaria one response so strong that you would end up with Iran. It is difficult that the Iranian leadership may decide to take such step. Meanwhile the Director of the Centre of strategic studies Begin-Sadat, of the University of Bar-Ilan, Efrain Inbar, said that the policy of deterrence cannot be applied with regard to Iran. The leaders of Iran openly threatens to wipe Israel from the world map. In such a situation, it is problematic to create a system of nuclear deterrence.

Not be allowed that a country that calls to liquidate a Member State of the United Nations comes to possess a nuclear weapon. I believe that military option against Iran, this planned, rehearsed and is viable, especially taking into account that threats make disappear to Israel have been issued on various occasions by that country’s President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Although the most important and key in this situation is showing political will of both parties and reach a direct dialogue or integrated into a negotiation involving mediators. It is necessary to use all international legal instruments that exist including the Nuclear non-proliferation Treaty. Although in this case we must bear in mind that Israel already has nuclear weapons, although in a strategic, defensivo-disuasiva attitude, since its founding in 1948, it has had innumerable disputes with neighbouring countries. Returning to the subject of the mediation, if existing instruments they are not necessary, you should create new.

but the key element a negotiation is really displayed political will among both parties to the conflict. The Conference for security issues in the Middle East was organized by RIA Novosti international information agency and Council for foreign policy and defense of Russia.

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